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10-Year Product Lifetimes: Why Off-the-Shelf Silicon Breaks Down

Designing a product is one thing. Supporting it for ten years is another.

 

Teams building industrial, medical, infrastructure, or regulated products often discover that the hardest problems do not appear in year one. They appear in year five, seven, or nine — long after the original design decisions were made.

 

Off-the-shelf silicon works well early. Over long lifetimes, it quietly becomes a liability.

 

This article explains why long-lifecycle products break down on commodity silicon, where the risks really come from, and when ASIC becomes the safer long-term choice.

 

The mismatch between product lifetimes and silicon lifecycles

 

Most off-the-shelf components are designed for fast-moving markets.

 

Consumer demand, rapid refresh cycles, and aggressive node transitions shape how vendors manage their portfolios. Even “industrial” variants are often derivatives of shorter-lived platforms.

 

Long-lifecycle products expect:

  • Stable availability for a decade or more
  • Predictable electrical and performance behavior
  • Controlled change over time

 

Commodity silicon is optimized for:

  • Volume turnover
  • Feature refresh
  • Portfolio simplification

 

These goals eventually conflict.

 

The slow erosion of availability

 

Supply risk rarely arrives as a sudden discontinuation.

 

It usually starts with:

  • Extended lead times
  • Forced last-time buys
  • Silent silicon revisions
  • Package or test changes

 

Each change may be manageable in isolation. Over time, they accumulate into a significant operational burden.

 

For regulated or safety-critical products, even minor component changes can trigger expensive requalification.

 

Redesign becomes the hidden cost

 

When an off-the-shelf component changes or disappears, redesign becomes inevitable.

 

Redesign is not just a technical task. It involves:

  • Validation and regression testing
  • Certification and compliance updates
  • Manufacturing and documentation changes
  • Customer communication and support

 

For long-lifecycle products, the cost of redesign often exceeds the original savings from using commodity silicon.

 

Why second sourcing is harder than it looks

 

Second sourcing is often presented as the solution to supply risk.

 

In practice, true second sources are rare:

  • Electrical compatibility is not guaranteed
  • Performance and power characteristics differ

Software and validation effort multiplies

 

What looks like redundancy on paper often becomes divergence in the field.

 

How ASIC changes the long-lifecycle equation

 

ASIC does not eliminate all risk, but it shifts control back to the product owner.

 

With custom silicon:

  • The architecture is frozen deliberately
  • Manufacturing nodes are chosen for longevity
  • Lifecycle decisions are planned, not reactive

 

ASIC enables alignment between product lifetime and silicon lifetime.

 

For products that must be supported for a decade or more, that alignment is often worth more than short-term cost savings.

 

 

When ASIC makes sense for long-lifecycle products

 

ASIC becomes attractive when:

  • Product lifetime exceeds typical component lifecycles
  • Redesign cost is high or unacceptable
  • Certification and requalification are expensive
  • Customers demand long-term support guarantees

 

In these cases, ASIC is not about optimization. It is about risk reduction.

 

When ASIC is still the wrong answer

 

ASIC is not always justified, even for long-lifecycle products.

 

It may not make sense when:

  • Volumes are extremely low
  • The product is still evolving
  • The business cannot absorb upfront investment
  • Supply risk can be managed contractually

 

The decision depends on economics, risk tolerance, and organizational readiness.

 

The mistake teams make

Many teams wait until supply problems force action.

 

By then:

  • Redesign timelines are compressed
  • Customers are already affected
  • Costs are reactive rather than planned

 

The safest moment to consider ASIC is before supply pressure becomes urgent.

 

What to do next

 

If your product is expected to ship for ten years or more, the question is not whether off-the-shelf silicon will eventually cause problems.

 

It is when — and how prepared you will be when it happens.

 

Before committing to redesigns, last-time buys, or emergency mitigation, it helps to step back and evaluate whether custom silicon makes sense for the long term.

 

 

Next step

Run the 2-minute ASIC or Not? Decision Wizard to get a clear, non-sales recommendation based on lifetime, volume, and risk tolerance.

👉 /asic-or-not

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